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The perils of prediction

Opinion: One expert explains why forecasters get it wrong all the time.

Fri, 26 Jan 2018

A sobering reminder when reading the many new year predictions for the global economy and investment prospects is that most years the experts get it wrong.

Take 2017. They thought the global economy would continue to struggle, inflation would stage a comeback, right-wing nationalism (or

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The perils of prediction
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