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RAW DATA: ISPs' evening performance down for all TrueNet tests

April results continue with the same pattern as March where peak evening performance was down from the previous long term trend.

Mon, 25 May 2015

(TrueNet is contracted to the Commerce Commission to monitor broadband performance. It uses a network of probes attached to 400 volunteers' internet connections to rate ISPs — Editor.)

April results continue with the same pattern as March where peak evening performance was down from the previous long term trend. TrueNet measurements show reduced speed for file downloads from almost all locations we measure on someISPs.  Increased time to download websites is now featuring strongly, supporting the probablility there is congestion in some networks.  

April is worse than March, and we have yet to see whether this is the bottom of the cycle where investment in network capacity resolves congestion.

Summary of Performance Measures

Index

 

This is the second month in a row where Internet speed reduces in the popular evening hours, and is again noticably affecting Vodafone, Slingshot and Orcon.  It is evident in some ADSL, and almost all VDSL and Cable Time to Download (ToD) results measured in April. 

We extend the analysis for VDSL to compare NZ & Australian website downloads by time of day to show how significant this impact is (Charts 3A & 3B).  We use the average of the median of each connection's tests. This means some, or many tests may be very much better, or worse than average.  This measure is explained .

 
Table 1: Summary of Performance Measures

(Click to zoom)

Webpage Download Time

Responsive website browsing is valued by most Internet users, and conversely, slow-loading sites can be extremely frustrating.

TrueNet tests internet browsing by downloading a selection of popular NZ and Australian Live Webpages, measuring the the time taken to fully download all of the page excluding adverts located elsewhere, and javascript (e.g Google ads and some interactive data).  Our choice of pages is intended to ensure caching is difficult.

Charts 1 and 2 use the average of the median for the entire day, so are weighted for the potential download times, ie there are many more hours than those where congestion occurs.  This means that congested periods have little impact on average times.

NZ Live Webpages

Orcon remains the quickest in 100Mb/s Fibre and VDSL, but is no longer the best in ADSL. or the 30Mb/s service.

Bigpipe has improved to be best in ADSL, and Spark has improved to be best for the 30Mb/s fibre service.

Vodafone Fibre is second best in Fibre, just behind OrconMyRepublic has improved from last month.

Australia's iiNet ADSL has had a comparatively bad month, substantially increasing webpage download times compared to the last couple of months, such that we had to label their time to avoid expanding the scale too much.

 
Chart 1: Live NZ Webpage Download Time - in seconds

Australian Live Webpages

The competition between Snap and Orcon heats up this month, with Snap coming out on top returning the best Australian Webpage download time. 

Vodafone has enough test probes connected to re-enter the 100Mb/s Fibre category this month, and is very close in performance to MyRepublic, which has  improved from last month in both NZ, and Australian Live Webpage download times.

In ADSL, Bigpipe, Orcon, and Vodafone all improved  from last month but FlipSlingshot, and Snap are consistently the best three Australian webpage download times over recent months.

 
Chart 2: Live Australian Webpage Download Time - in seconds

Time of Day Analysis for Fibre & Cable

Apparent congestion showing up in our File Download Speed charts led us to review potential congestion in Webpage Downloads.  This section demonstrates that the two are strongly linked.

Chart 3 below shows the average NZ Live Webpage download time across NZ Webpages, by Time of Day, For Fibre and Vodafone Cable panelists.  Time of Day performance for Live Webpage downloads show signs of evening congestion.

Clearly Vodafone Cable as well as Orcon fibre have been impacted (see Speed by ToD in the next section), but several other ISPs experienced small increases in Webpage Download times during the evening.   

Chart 3: Time of Day, Average of Live NZ  Webpages

Time of Day Analysis for VDSL

Most New Zealand connections  still use ADSL technology, but over 80% of those can be upgraded to VDSL. If you are considering such an upgrade, here  are two charts to show how performance varies throughout the day.  

VDSL results are downloaded from each of the NZ, or Australian websites (excluding advertising) to the end user’s connection.  Clicking on the charts will open a separate page with a full-sized chart.

Chart 3A & 3B: New Zealand & Australia, VDSL Duration by ToD

Chart 3A & 3B: Snap & BigPipe continue with their consistent performances, taking the same time to download all sites throughout the day, from both NZ and Australia; and do not appear to be affected by congestion through the busy hours during the evening.   All other ISPs have an evening period where the time taken to download the websites increases.
Whilst Orcon is the quickest for both NZ & Australia in Charts 1 & 2, that is because those charts use average speed over the entire day.  Orcon speed is quick outside peak hours, but during the 2 popular evening hours the download times increase by almost double.

Speed (File Download Performance)

For TrueNet's speed tests each panelist's probe regularly downloads a 1MB or 2MB file from Auckland, Wellington, Dallas and Sydney.

International tests represent the median hourly speed of each probe from Dallas, and Sydney.  National results are based on the best Auckland, or Wellington download speed from each test run, to compute a median hourly speed for each panelist's connection. 

International File Download Speed

TrueNet tests download speeds from our servers in Dallas & Sydney to measure performance to our international neighbours.

We ensure the download file is not held in New Zealand (cached), so that the test truly measures international performance. The speed test results selected are taken at 9pm, in the evening busy period, when congestion is likely to be worst.

Fibre & Cable

Snap achieved the fastest speed to Sydney, with Vodafone and MyRepublic close behind. Spark 30Mb/s service showed improved speed to both Dallas and Sydney.

In contrast, Orcon was slower at both Fibre speeds. This result is directly impacted by slower results in the evening busy period - Orcon's speed to the US and Australia in off-peak hours is up at levels reported in past months.

Chart 4: Fibre, Cable File Download Speed - Dallas & Sydney

ADSL & VDSL

Vodafone and Slingshot maintained best results in VDSL and were also best in combined speeds in ADSL to Sydney & Dallas. Snap jumped to best ADSL speed to Sydney, but their Dallas speed is slower. 

 
Chart 5: ADSL, VDSL File Download Speed - Dallas & Sydney

NZ File Download Speed

Comparing performance by time-of-day is important as it shows the service degradation when everyone is using the internet during the peak hours of 8pm to 10pm.  TrueNet uses the best of a pair of Auckland and Wellington download tests to calculate the median results by hour over the month for each monitored connection.  We take the average of all median results with each ISP for each hour.

Fibre - Cable - VDSL Comparison

The Time of Day (ToD) performance on the higher speed broadband offerings is compared in Chart 6.

Regular readers will be familiar with the evening speed dip seen on 100Mb/s Cable remaining above 100Mb/s, but this month a wider phenomenon is apparent. The 9pm speed of Vodafone Cable 50 & 100Mb/s services converge at just under 40Mb/s.  Down from 110Mb/s at the bottom of the dip in January.

Snap 100Mb/s Fibre provided a consistent ToD performance, while at the other extreme, Orcon 100Mb/s Fibre experienced a dip in the evening.

30M Fibre services did not show any ToD extremes, with consistent performances throughout the day for all ISPs. 

 
Chart 6: Fibre, Cable, and VDSL Download Speed

TrueNet has fibre panelists on 8 service speeds at present. An alternative, simplified way to look at results is to compare ISP performance against the advertised service speed.

In Chart 7, Spark and Snap Fibre services show very little Time of Day change, with Spark providing very close to advertised speed throughout the day.

Vodafone Cable, averaged across the 15, 50, and 100Mb/s services drops below 60% of advertised speed during the evening, we notice that typically the 70% point causes TrueNet's panelist's to complain of a degraded service.

MyRepublic and Vodafone Fibre average below 80% of  advertised speed throughout the month, both slowing down in the evening, but not as much as seen in the Orcon Fibre speed.

Chart 7: Fibre & Cable Performance as Percentage of Advertised Speed

DSL Performance by Time of Day (ToD)

VDSL File Download Speed

There are a spread of results this month with Bigpipe leading the way with a consistent 95%  of advertised speed in the evening, but all other ISPs have markedly reduced ToD performance from previous months.

Spark and Snap stay close to 90% in the evening.

Vodafone, Slingshot and Orcon have very similar results in the evening,  dropping to 80% of maximum speeds.

 

Chart 8: VDSL File Download Speed by Time of Day

ADSL File Download Speed

A two-tier result, with consistent performances for 5 ISPs in Chart 9, but signs of  congestion at 9PM in the Vodafone, Orcon, and Slingshot results. Again these 3 ISPs have very similar ToD performance, as per the VDSL results in Chart 8 above. 

 

Chart 9: ADSL File Download Speed by Time of Day

Upload Speed Performance

Upload speed is important to users sending fairly large amounts of data through the internet, or loading files to the Cloud.

TrueNet's upload test sends a 1MB file to our Wellington server, and records the results using a similar method to the download tests, but measured from Wellington only.  Australian panelists connections test to our Sydney server. 

By Technology

The Upload speed results are similar to recent months, though 50Mb/s services were slower, and a very small reduction in 10Mb/s fibre speed was observed this month. Both of these are related to Time of Day performance (see Chart 11), lowering the average across all hours.

 

Chart 10: Upload Performance by Technology

 

Upload Speed By ISP

This month the speed of Fibre and cable ISPs is given by Time of Day (ToD). As with the other performance measures this month, upload is also showing signs of evening congestion. 

In the past, there has been little variation in upload by Time of Day but there is evidence in Chart 11 that whatever is affecting Downloads, and Webpage download times, is also affecting uploads. 

Curiously, Snap's 20Mb/s service is quite constant, while the 50Mb/s and 10Mb/s services show a distinct evening dip.

Spark and Vodafone’s 10Mb/s Fibre upload services were able to achieve very consistent performance throughout the day, matching the download performance of these products.

 
Chart 11: Fibre, Cable ToD Upload Speed by ISP

 

Quarterly Feature - LFC File Download Speed Comparison

This month's quarterly report looks at the download performance of LFCs associated with the UltraFast Broadband fibre roll-out. With all the recent interest in online video content, and possible congestion at peak times, UFB participants have thus far appeared largely unaffected - perhaps because of the newness of the platform and lighter loading. Given the further signs of evening congestion for capacity this month, we see that Fibre is not immune.

Please bear in mind that LFC's are only partly responsible for performance. In general the LFC and ISP share responsibility for overall performance, since a restriction, or problem in either network will impact the connected users. Therefore, these results need to be considered in conjunction with each ISPs fibre results, and their results in other technology areas.

As of April, there are 12 ISPs represented across the 3 main LFCs .

The ISPs represented per LFC are:

Chorus:   FXNetworks, Mynxnet, MyRepublic, Orcon, Slingshot, Snap, Spark, ThePacific, Trustpower, Vodafone, Voyager, Xnet

Enable:    MyRepublic,  Orcon, Snap, Spark

UFF:        MyRepublic, Orcon, Snap, Spark, Trustpower, Vodafone, Voyager

Chart 12 below gives the best speed, averaged over the month, per LFC. Compared to the last report in January, the speed of Enable & UFF 100Mb/s service is up, while Chorus is down. This does not mean that Chorus averages slower speeds across all panelists. The low speeds of the many less common ISPs, not included in monthly reports, impacts the Chorus result more than 10%.  

UFF allows peak wholesale speeds a little higher than "advertised" service speed.  Chorus and Enable also have this service, but we see little evidence of its impact.

The results for the 30Mb/s services is much closer. Enable and Chorus speeds are up by a small amount from the January report, with all 3 running close to, or over, the advertised service speed.

 

Chart 12: LFC Download Speed

 

LFC Speed by Time of Day

The Time of Day results for each ISP as a percentage of the service speed is shown in Chart 13.  Unlike previous reports, there is evidence that congestion is affecting users on the UFB.  UFF has the most noticeable Time of Day impact, with Chorus less so.  

Click on chart13 and it will link to a Chart showing ISP breakdown within the LFCs, and also as a total group. The ISP breakdown shows a mixture of ToD results within each LFC.  This suggests that congestion is not systemic within the LFCs, and is likely to be in the ISPs or at the handover link. 

In this months webpage download ToD analysis, OrconVodafone, and Slingshot have a dip in evening speeds, and these are also reflected in the LFC results. 

Another observation for Chorus is that the overall speed of the smaller ISPs in the "Other" category runs slower than the named ISPs.

Chart 13: LFC Time of Day Comparison, Indexed to Advertised Speed

 

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RAW DATA: ISPs' evening performance down for all TrueNet tests
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