Labour/Greens overtake National - poll
Poll catches two days of Twyford mania.
Poll catches two days of Twyford mania.
One poll does not make a trend. But opposition parties can take heart from the latest Roy Morgan survey, which shows combined Labour/Greens support ahead of National for the first time since the election (scroll down for graph).
it runs counter to a series of polls in June that showed the government holding steady after Budget 2015.
The poll included the first two days of media mania following Labour housing spokesman Phil Twyford's controversial claim that Chinese offshore buyers are overheating the Auckland housing market. Labour and the Greens both support a ban on non-resident buyers purchasing existing homes.
Support for National fell 6.5% to 43%, trailing a potential Labour/Greens coalition (up 6% to 45%) for the first time since May 2014.
If an election were held now, NZ First would be in a position to determine our next government, according to Roy Morgan.
Support for the National partners was little changed with the Maori Party up 0.5% to 1.5% while support for Act NZ is 0.5% (down 0.5%) and United Future 0% (unchanged).
Labour’s support is now at 32% (up 6% to the highest since March 2014), Greens 13% (unchanged) and NZ First 7% (up 0.5%). Of the parties outside Parliament the Conservative Party of NZ is 1.5% (up 0.5%) while the Internet-Mana Party alliance is at 0% (unchanged) and support for Independent/ Others is 1.5% (down 0.5%).
The latest NZ Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has plunged to 118pts (down 17.5pts) in July. A slim majority of NZ electors 51% (down 11.5%) now say NZ is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 33% (up 6%) that say NZ is ‘heading in the wrong direction’. Despite this steep fall New Zealand Government Confidence is still substantially higher than in Australia – Australian Government Confidence last week was at only 90.5pts, Roy Morgan says.
Roy Morgan Research surveyed 886 eligible voters were surveyed by phone from June 29 to July 12.