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Kiwi gains on China steel stimulus, central bank meetings


The kiwi rises as investors gain confidence from the prospect China may invigorate its domestic steel industry with a tax rebate, ahead of two key central bank meetings on either side of the Atlantic.

Paul McBeth
Tue, 31 Jul 2012

BUSINESSDESK: The New Zealand dollar rose in local trading as investors gained confidence from the prospect China may invigorate its domestic steel industry with a tax rebate, ahead of two key central bank meetings on either side of the Atlantic.

The kiwi lifted to 80.99 US cents at 5pm in Wellington from 80.85 cents at 8am and 80.74 cents yesterday. The trade-weighted index edged up to 72.93 from 72.83.

The kiwi is poised for a 1.1% monthly gain against the greenback and on the TWI.

China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is considering reinstating an exemption for certain steelmakers from a 17% value-added tax in a bid to revive the ailing sector, Reuters reported.

The prospect of more Chinese stimulus stoked investors' appetite for higher-yielding, or riskier, assets, ahead of this week's central bank meetings in Europe and the US, which may give traders more cause for optimism.

"The kiwi crept up this afternoon, following other currencies, after the Chinese announced a bit of economic stimulus," said Imre Speizer, market strategist at Westpac Banking in Auckland. "Investors are still positive ahead of the central bank meetings."

Policymakers on the Federal Open Market Committee begin their two-day meeting tomorrow in Washington DC ahead of Thursday's announcement on monetary policy.

Though traders are not expecting any announcement of more stimulus, they will be looking for a tweak in the language, Mr Speizer said.

The main event will be the European Central Bank meeting tomorrow in Frankfurt, where traders will be looking for more action from the regulator after president Mario Draghi confirmed he will take all measures possible to protect the region's single currency, a bid that was backed by France and Germany.

Markets largely shrugged off New Zealand's National Bank Business Outlook, which showed firms were a little more confident in July. Traders got a small fillip from Australian building permits, which fell less than expected in June.

Fonterra's online auction of dairy products will capture market watchers, with traders looking for signs of a turnaround in prices which have been falling in recent months.

The kiwi rose to 65.96 euro cents from 65.72 cents at 5pm in Wellington yesterday and increased to 51.53 pence from 51.39 pence. It declined to 76.93 Australian cents from 77.18 cents yesterday and was little changed at 63.33 yen from 63.27 yen.

Paul McBeth
Tue, 31 Jul 2012
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Kiwi gains on China steel stimulus, central bank meetings
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