Stats NZ data shows annual inflation rose to 2.5%, above 2.2% at the end of last year.
Central bank keeps the official cash rate steady at 5.5%, as widely expected, rate cuts later in 2024.
Moody’s expects continuation of fiscal discipline.
Unemployment rose a touch above expectations in the June quarter, inflation the big unknown.
Slightly higher than expected, while wage inflation remains elevated.
But Governor Philip Lowe says further hikes may be needed to cool inflation pressures.
Underlying stickiness could result in need to raise OCR again to cool inflation.
Food prices the biggest driver of annual inflation, which eased to 6% in the year to June, according to Stats NZ data.
RBNZ left OCR unchanged for first time in 21 months, but some economists still pencil in more hikes.
OCR remains unchanged at 5.5%, with Monetary Policy Committee saying recent economic indicators suggest near-term growth likely to remain weak.