But most of NZIER’s shadow board pick the OCR will sit between 3.5% and 4.5% a year from now.
Inflation remains too high, but economic capacity pressures are heading in right direction.
Labour shortages ease ‘significantly’ in latest quarterly survey of business opinion.
But no change expected when central bank reviews official cash rate next week.
The Westpac McDermott Miller Employment Confidence Index fell 7.4 points to 98.3 in the September quarter.
Economy surprises in the June quarter, with a recession rounded away.
Quarterly growth of 0.9% was above expectations, while no technical recession was recorded.
Final puzzle pieces reveal jobs growth, and tourism as the bright spot.
Damien O'Connor says today's ruling will give exporters confidence.
Global equities investment director says China has resources and wherewithal to manage issues.