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'Complete victory for National Party establishment'

English as PM, Bennett as deputy and Joyce as finance minister without a vote being cast | Back-room power player Wayne Eagleson to remain as PM's chief-of-staff.

Sat, 10 Dec 2016

Scroll down for MPs who supported Bennett or Bridges.

Simon Bridges has pulled out of National's deputy leader race, leaving Paula Bennett as the only candidate. 

"While my numbers were good, they weren't good enough," Mr Bridges told reporters at Auckland's Britomart this morning.

Mr Bridges pitched himself as the outsider candidate.

But commentator Matthew Hooton says, "In the end, the National Party establishment has had a complete victory, securing Bill English in the prime ministership, Paula Bennett in the deputy's job and Steven Joyce as minister of finance without a vote being cast."

He adds, "While Judith Collins and Jonathan Coleman were easily swatted away, Simon Bridges' challenge to the preordained result demonstrated enough caucus support that he will need to be brought firmly into the inner circle to maintain unity in the party."

But although National's week-long contest has ended up so orderly and cut-and-dried, fellow political commentator Bryce Edwards says Mr English will have to face a challenge from the right; the only question is if it comes with pre-election poll stumble or a post-election power struggle.

Four factors in Bennett's favour
Ms Bennett has four factors in her favour for MPs who wanted to counter-balance Mr English: she's female, relatively young, from West Auckland — a key marginal area where Chris Trotter's "Waitakere Man" could swing the next election – and possessed of a Westie personality where the incoming PM is more Thunderbird.

Mr Bridges shares her youth but comes from an area (Tauranga) that National already has in the bag. 

Praise from English
In a statement, presumptive new prime minister Bill English called Ms Bennett, "an outstanding politician whose work on welfare reform is world-leading. I am proud to have a smart, energetic woman as New Zealand's second only female Deputy Prime Minister."

He also praised her rival, saying "I want to thank Simon Bridges as a constructive and energetic candidate for the deputy leadership. He too is an outstanding politician and I look forward to working with him in the leadership team."

Mr English did not endorse either candidate during the race. Nor did outgoing PM John Key.

Caucus will officially vote in the new leader and deputy on Monday.

Here's how the endorsement picture looked first thing this morning:

Publicly declared for Paula Bennett
(bold = declared for English)

  1. Paula Bennett
  2. Amy Adams
  3. Jono Naylor
  4. Alfred Ngaro
  5. Nuk Korako
  6. Chester Borrows
  7. Mark Mitchell
  8. Ian McKelvie
  9. Brett Hudson
  10. Barbara Kuriger
  11. Louise Upston
  12. Murray McCully
  13. Joanne Hayes
  14. Jacqui Dean
  15. Nikki Kaye
  16. Parmjeet Parmar
  17. Alastair Scott
  18. Jo Goodhew
  19. Craig Foss
  20. Nicky Wagner
  21. Hekia Parata
  22. Lindsay Tisch
  23. Jian Yang

Publicly declared for Simon Bridges

  1. Simon Bridges
  2. Todd Muller
  3. Jonathan Young
  4. Todd Barclay
  5. Jami-Lee Ross
  6. Sarah Dowie
  7. Todd McClay
  8. Paul Foster-Bell
  9. Simon O’Connor

Yet to declare

  1. John Key
  2. Bill English
  3. Steven Joyce
  4. Gerry Brownlee
  5. Anne Tolley
  6. Judith Collins
  7. Jonathan Coleman
  8. Nick Smith
  9. Chris Finlayson
  10. Michael Woodhouse
  11. Nathan Guy
  12. David Carter
  13. Paul Goldsmith
  14. Chris Bishop
  15. David Bennett
  16. Shane Reti
  17. Maureen Pugh
  18. Kanwaljit Singh Bakshi 
  19. Mellissa Lee
  20. Peseta Sam Lotu-Iiga
  21. Maggie Barry
  22. Andrew Bayly
  23. Tim Macindoe
  24. Scott Simpson
  25. Maurice Williamson
  26. Matt Doocey
  27. Stuart Smith

Polls favour Bennett
A Horizon Poll of 1200 released exclusively to NBR Friday morning had Ms Bennett leading Mr Bridges by 6% among National Party voters (once the incumbent Bill English and non-starter Steven Joyce were discounted). 

Among the wider public, Ms Bennett led Mr Bridges by 2%.

An NBR Business Pulse poll found Ms Bennett with a 59% to 41% lead among this publication's business readership.

Eagleson stays
In Friday's other major political development, Mr English said Wayne Eagleson will remain as the Prime Minister's Chief of Staff.

Opposition parties have called for the backroom player's head at various times during his tenure, notably during the Dirty Politics controversy and the release of journalist Andrea Vance's phone records.  But John Key stood by his man.

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'Complete victory for National Party establishment'
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