Another poll knockback for Labour (3News-Reid Research)
Greens benefit as smear campaign takes toll | Key says he's close to decision on an MMP deal for Colin Craig in East Coast Bays.
National 49.7% (-0.6%)
Labour 27.2% (-2.2%)
Green 12.7% (+2.5%)
ACT 1.4% (+0.8%)
Maori 1.5% (+0.9%)
United Future 0.0% (nc)
Mana/Internet 1.8% (+1.0%)
NZ First 3.6% (-2.0%)
Conservative 2.8% (+0.5%)
Yet another poll has shown National with enough support to govern alone, and Labour dipping.
The 3News-Reid Research survey was taken June 19 to June 25 as National and the NZ Herald pressed new donation allegations from Donghua Liu — but did not capture reaction from Mr Liu and the NZ Herald backing down from their original claims, nor Labour's new tax policy.
Labour leader David Cunliffe has labelled the Liu allegations a smear campaign, and challenged Mr Liu and other accusers to front with evidence.
Whatever its merits. The Greens — up 2.2% as Labour fell 2.5% — appeared to be the beneficiaries of the latest Liu scandal.
The poll also found Mana and the Internet Party on a combined 1.8%, enough to bring two MPs into Parliament if Mana leader Hone Harawira holds Te Tai Tokerau (where one survey found him behind Labour's Kelvin Davis).
NZ First (3.6%) and the Conservatives (2.8%) both fell short of the 5% MMP threshold.
This morning, Prime Minister John Key said a decision would be made "relatively soon" on his party's strategy for the Auckland seat of East Coast Bays, where Conservative leader Colin Craig is standing against National's Murray McCully.
The poll gave Mr Key his highest rating as preferred Prime Minister since November 2011, with 46.7% support.
Mr Cunliffe was down 0.2 percent to 9.6%.
Curiablog summary
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)
Undecideds: Not specified
Dates: June 19 to June 25
Party Support
National 49.7% (-0.6%)
Labour 27.2% (-2.2%)
Green 12.7% (+2.5%)
ACT 1.4% (+0.8%)
Maori 1.5% (+0.9%)
United Future 0.0% (nc)
Mana/Internet 1.8% (+1.0%)
NZ First 3.6% (-2.0%)
Conservative 2.8% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
National 63
Labour 35
Green 16
ACT 2
Maori 3
United Future 1
Mana 2
NZ First 0
Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/122 – three more than the minimum needed to govern
CL – Labour 36 + Greens 16 + Mana/Internet 2 = 54/122 – eight fewer than minimum needed to govern
C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 0/124
On this poll, there would be a centre-right Government.
© All content copyright NBR. Do not reproduce in any form without permission, even if you have a paid subscription.
Another poll knockback for Labour (3News-Reid Research)
39143